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November 21st, 2007

The Wealth Gap

            If you boil the concept of  saving down  to  its essence,  there are  only  two reasons  to save,  accumulate,  and grow money.

            You  want  to  have  the wherewithal  to  do  for  yourself or to do for others.  For yourself and  those  close  to  you  such  as children  or  a  spouse,  you  want to  provide  basic  security  while expanding choices and opportunities.    You  want  to  be  selfsufficient,  economically  free, and generous to others.
            Money cannot buy  character  or  integrity.    Money  can make bad habits worse.   Thankfully,  for  most  who  read  this c o l u m n , money  is seen  in  context  as  a force  for good.  Being rich  in  spirit goes beyond money.  Some very
wealthy  people  are  poor  in spirit.
             In  the  season  between Thanksgiving  and  New  Year’s Day,  the  emphasis  is  on  shopping and spending, not saving—as  in  X  number  of  shopping days  before  Christmas.    As  you look  out  beyond January 1, 2008,  the  focus
should  be  on “ g r o w t h ”—growth  in  personal progress and capability as  you  strive  to  make your  future  bigger  than  your past.    Money  and  assets  are tools  to  help  you  grow  in  purpose and to serve your goals.

             We  keep  hearing  about the  “wealth  gap,”  and,  yes,  the rich  have  been  getting  richer.  Charles  Rangel,
powerful head of t h e   Ho u s e Wa y s   a n d Means  Committee,  is  proposing  to  raise taxes on  the rich so as  to  redistribute  income  and narrow the wealth gap.  But who are the rich?
     

           Mr.  Rangel  recently  put forth a plan  to slap a 4% surtax on  single  taxpayers  who  earn more  than  $150,000  a  year  and on  married  couples  who  make more  than $100,000 each.   You know who you are, and  so does the IRS.  And get this—the surtax  will  be  figured  on Adjusted  Gross  Income (AGI)  before  deductions for  mortgage  interest,
medical  costs,  state  and  local taxes,  charitable  contributions, etc.  It would apply to long-term capital gains, raising  the current 15 percent rate to 19 percent for those impacted.

            Less  money  for  you  if you are “rich”—less  for  tuition, charities,  savings,  and  necessities,  including  a little  fun once-i n - awh i l e .  Less  money for  closely-held  businesses , roughly  24  million  entrepreneurs  who  pay taxes  through  their  personal  tax return,  such  as  with  a  Sub-S Corporation. 

             The idea that government needs  to  close  the wealth gap  is insidious  and  dangerous.    The gap  itself  is  based  on  a  false premise,  the  idea  that  the  economic pie  is  fixed.   There  is not a  static  amount  of  wealth.    If  Warren  Buffett  or  Bill  Gates have more money than I do, they in  no way  impede me  in  efforts to improve my lot.  Their gain is
not at my expense.  In fact, their gains  may  contribute  to  my growth.

             Most certainly Bill Gates has  created tools that improve  productivity . Wealth  expansion  rests on improving productivity, and  productivity  is  expandable . Wealth  is  growing  in  Atlanta, and  in  China,  India,  and  elsewhere,  because  of  leaps  in  productivity.

             A recent study of data by the  U.S.  Treasury  bears  out  the fact of “mobility.”   Not all poor people  stay  poor.    Not  all  rich people  stay  rich.   Robert  Frank, The  Wealth  Report,  notes  that income  “mobility  of  individuals was  considerable  between  1996 and  2005,  with  roughly  half  of taxpayers who began  in  the bottom  quintile moving  to  a  higher income  group  within  10  years.  Among those with the very highest  incomes  in  1996—the  top one-hundredth  of  1%—only 25%  remained  in  the  group  in 2005.   The median  real  income of  these  taxpayers  (the  super-rich)  actually  declined  over  the study period.”

             In  a  1997  speech  by  political observer P.J. O’Rourke  in Shanghai, China, not  long ago a collectivist  nation,  he  reminded the  audience that with the 10th  Commandment God  told Moses  to tell  the Tribes  of Israel,  and
everyone else,  not  to  covet   your neighbor’s stuff.

                  Cries  by  some  to  “close the wealth  gap”   means  “I want the  government  to  get  more  of my  neighbor’s  stuff  and  give  it to me.”

             Collectivists  think  about a gap as a group  thing.   How do we  redistribute wealth  from  one group to another?
    

             Entrepreneurs,  energetic and  forward-thinking  workers, inventors,  and others  see  “gaps” as  opportunities.   They  think  as individuals.  How  do  I  close  a gap…create  a  solut ion…
improve  a  process?    How  do  I create wealth?

             Resolve  to  make  2008 the  year  that  you  close  personal gaps  and  grow  in  wisdom  and capability.    The  money  will come.    And  keep  your  eye  on Charlie  Rangel.    He  ain’t Moses  and  he  covets  your stuff!

                 3930 East Jones Bridge Road  Suite 150  Norcross, GA 30092  770-441-2603  (Fax) 770-441-7936

The Investment Coach 1994, Walker Capital Management Corp. Lewis Walker is President of Walker Capital Management Corp. and Walker Capital Advisory Services, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor (R.I.A.) Securities and certain advisory services offered through The Strategic Financial Alliance, Inc. (SFA).  Lewis Walker is a registered representative of SFA which is otherwise unaffiliated with the Walker Capital Companies.

Posted by hkelly as Financial Planning with Lewis Walker at 10:49 AM EST

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November 16th, 2007

Turkey Day and Fashionable Pessimism

            T hanksgiving,  November  22,  2007  — only  32  shopping  days  until  Christmas!  Expect short-run themes to combine with the  agony  of  a  looming  election  year  to impede  thoughtful contemplation of what Thanksgiving really means.

             Individually, Thanksgiving  is about  family and appreciation.  We join  with  those  we love, friends and family, to celebrate blessings.    Nationally  we pause  to  remember our  Judeo-Christian heritage,  a  nation founded on a recogni-
tion  of  God-given  individual  rights,  freedom,  and the rule of law.

            Loftier thoughts will not preoccupy the media.  With the stock markets gyrating and The FUD Factor (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) distracting  investors from longer term strategic planning, the focus will be on the consumer.  With energy costs rising and housing prices under pressure, will the consumer  slam  shut wallets  and  purses  and  pull  back
on holiday spending?

            Then  there  is  politics.    Between  now  and Tuesday, November 4, 2008,  unceasingly you will hear  “how  bad  everything  is.”    The  FUD  Factor will be a dominant theme in the battle for the White House and veto-proof majorities in Congress.

             Economist  Paul  Krugman’s new book, The Conscience of a Liberal,    is  a  call  for  expanded  government-led  income  redistribution schemes  via  increased  taxes  and  a growth  in  social  welfare  programs.  The  book’s  release  is  timed  to  the election cycle.

             The countdown  to Election Day   2008 may be  a  classic  case  of  “deja  vu  all over  again.”    Newsweek  maga-
zine  on  March  2,  1992,  ran  a cover  story,  “Behind  the Voter’s Revolt:   America’s Lost Dream.”   That  event was
cited  by  another  economist,  Robert  J.  Samuelson, in his 1995 book, The Good Life and  It’s Discontents:   The American Dream  in  the Age of Entitlement 1945-1995.

             “History matters,” as Samuelson notes, and here is the good news for this Turkey Day.  Our republic will continue to grow no matter who is in the White House and despite efforts of enemies to frustrate  our  progress  and  damage  our  national  will.  But  progress will  be messy  and  noisy.    It  always has been, a bedrock strength not often recognized.

             Samuelson  sought  to  explain  “fashionable pessimism,” detailing “why  the  richest, most    powerful,  and  most  democratic  nation  in  the  world  is overcome  by  self-doubt  and  confusion.”   That was in 1995 — a period proclaimed by Clinton Redeux as  a  “golden  age.”    The  more  things  change,  the more they stay the same!

             Over  a  decade  ago,  Samuelson  quoted  Joseph  Schumpeter’s  bromide  about “creative  destruction.”    New  technologies,  business  models,  and channels  of  distribution  obliterate the  old.   Growth  produces winners and  losers.   Some  industries, cities, and regions expand while others decline.    The  process  “confers  and  revokes  status…undermines  tradition…empowers  some  nations  and imperils  others.    It  disrupts  settled ways  and  compels people and institutions to alter comfortable habits.  It generates insecurity.” (Emphasis mine).
          ?
             Self-doubt  is  not  a  new  phenomenon.    So  wherefore now, oh Republic?   Even  if others don’t trust  the  U.S.  dollar,  our  money proclaims  “In God We  Trust.”    God gave  us  two  beautiful  gifts  —  the ability  to  strive  and  thrive  in what  Michael  Medved  calls “this greatest nation on God’s green earth,” and free will, the ability  to  make  choices  and take personal responsibility for success or failure.

             In  advising  clients, we  reframe problems  as challenges.   A  focus  on  problems without  examining future forward solutions just saps energy.  Let’s have a conversation about challenges as  they  relate to a realistic examination of the alternatives to meet challenges, the resources available to power alternatives,  and  delineation  of  the  future  experience (outcome)  desired.    Sadly,  how  you  approach  personal financial planning will not mirror national social,  political,  and  financial  planning.    The  focus will  be  on making  the  other  guy,  or  woman,  look bad, with a heavy dose of sound bites simplicities.

            The dilemma cited by Samuelson  in 1995  is the  same  one  faced  by  “we  the  people”  in  2007  –
2008:    “America  is  an  inventive,  productive,  and satisfied  society  because  it  is free; it is also a messy, violent,
and  dissatisfied  society,  because it is free.”

            “The  good  life”  depends  on  your  understanding of  the difference between  success and  significance,
and the distinction between progress and perfection.  “Discontents”  can  lead  to  stagnation  and  dependence,  or  renewed  energy  and  “creative  reconstruction.”   Between  this Thanksgiving and New Year’sDay,  consider  how  your  blessings  and  your  resources,  current  and  future,  play  into  the  next  ten years.  “Problems” reframed as challenges open new vistas.

            Certainly  the  Pilgrims faced  daunting  challenges.  They took time out for prayer and  appreciation.    Turkey.
Good  wine.  Children  and grandchi ldren.  Pets  waiting f o r   t a b l e scraps.  We are blessed,  as  we salute  the  men
and women gathered  in military mess halls  around  the world.   Freedom  is not  free.  It never will be.
               

 3930 East Jones Bridge Road  Suite 150  Norcross, GA 30092  770-441-2603  (Fax) 770-441-7936
The Investment Coach 1994, Walker Capital Management Corp. Lewis Walker is President of Walker Capital Management Corp. and Walker Capital Advisory Services, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor (R.I.A.) Securities and certain advisory services offered through The Strategic Financial Alliance, Inc. (SFA).  Lewis Walker is a registered representative of SFA which is otherwise unaffiliated with the Walker Capital Companies

Posted by hkelly as Financial Planning with Lewis Walker at 4:36 PM EST

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November 7th, 2007

Time And Money, Part II

           Over twenty-years ago I wrote a column for a financial magazine entitled “The Battle of the Time Bandits.”  It was written for my fellow financial planners who did not seem to know how to put a value on their time.

           My early effort came to mind as I read a column in Financial Advisor magazine, “The Value of Your Time” by Nick
Murray (July, 2007).

           Consider a typical year containing 365 days.  Let’s suppose that you do not want to work on Saturday or Sunday
– subtract 104 days.  Assume ten secular or religious holidays per year as time off plus three weeks vacation (be good to
yourself) – subtract 25 work days.  Assume reasonable health, but subtract 10 days a year for illness, personal days,  jury
duty, or professional development seminars.  The total is 139 days away from work, leaving 226 actual workdays.?

            Assume you are at work for eight hours, but you lose two hours a day drinking coffee, eating lunch, shooting the breeze with co-workers, playing around on your computer, personal phone calls, whatever.  That leaves (226 x 6 =) 1356
real work hours per year.  Do your own math but the estimate is surprisingly accurate, if not a bit generous.

            Even if you are truly working 8 to 9 hours a day, how much work time is dedicated to mundane minutia?  How much real time is spent on unique ability activities, your value-added tasks and intellectual capital that generates the revenue that pays your salary or generates cash flow?

            To make the math easy, assume total compensation of $100,000 per year (you can use a percentage or a multiplier
relative to 100k to determine your “hourly value”).  Divide $100,000 by 1356 and you are worth almost $75 per hour.

           Nick Murray lectures and sells books.  He marvels at how much time some people will spend to recover a few dollars based on an honest mistake.  Is the hassle really worth your time and expense?

            Recently I flew from Amman, Jordan, to Paris, and through Newark to Atlanta.  In Newark (I suppose because I had been in the Middle East), TSA took my luggage apart.  They removed my TSA-approved lock and failed to put it back.  A new lock cost $10.

            To claim anything from the U.S. Government, you have to fill out a lengthy claim form and document your loss.  If you are worth $75 per hour, your productive time is valued at $1.25 per minute!  Trust me, it would take more than 8 minutes of time and frustration to recover ten dollars.  As a taxpayer, I wonder how much it would cost the government to refund ten bucks.  We’d be horrified at the answer.

            You only have 24 hours in your daily time bank.  You have to sleep, eat, bathe, and perform other routine functions.  You want to enjoy your family, friends, pet or pets, and have some downtime for yourself.  You want to
exercise, have time for worship or stewardship service as a volunteer and/or for hobbies and recreation.

            In his 1986 classic hit, “Against about, Deadlines and commitments, what to leave in, what to leave out.”  (Like a Rock, 1986 album).

           “What to leave in, what to leave out.” The quintessential time-related question!  You may be an “unpaid worker,” a stay-at-home spouse, caregiver, or  volunteer.  Your time, too, is valuable and has a price.

             The point is, what is your unique ability?  What really brings in the money, or supports others who bring in the
money?  What to leave out?  Whatever does not maximize your unique ability.  Outsource everything else.  Leave out,
as much as possible, whatever causes stress, drains your energy, and does not light your fire.  If you are a “control freak”
that is not easy to do but that is even more reason to do so.

             As an advisor, I talk to entrepreneurs (I am one) and those who want to start or build a business.  Key questions:  Do you know who you are?  Do you know what your unique ability is and, if so, how to maximize it?   What should your financial ROE (return on effort) be?
             

              If you want to take home $100,000 year after taxes, and deductions, what does that require?  On average, your net pay will be 67% of your gross.  Gross earnings are (100k/.67 =) $149,254.  (Deductions are for federal and Georgia income taxes, Social Security and Medicare, and do not include 401(k) contributions or other employee-supported
benefits like group insurance).

              Let’s assume as an entrepreneurial enterprise you run a tight ship.  Overhead is 45 percent of gross (also a reasonable number if you have rent, employees, etc.)  To garner your $149,254 in gross compensation, you have to
generate $271,371 in total revenue.  If you are the sole producer, your time is worth $200 per hour!  

              Play with your own percentages.  TIME IS “What to leave in, what to leave out.” Intellectual capital, passion, focus, and re-charging “free time” is CURRENCY.  “What to leave in, what to leave out”becomes even more clear!    

  3930 East Jones Bridge Road  Suite 150  Norcross, GA 30092  770-441-2603  (Fax) 770-441-7936
The Investment Coach 1994, Walker Capital Management Corp. Lewis Walker is President of Walker Capital Management Corp. and Walker Capital Advisory Services, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor (R.I.A.) Securities and certain advisory services offered through  The  Strategic  Financial  Alliance,  Inc.  (SFA).    Lewis Walker  is  a  registered  representative  of  SFA  which  is  otherwiseunaffiliated with the Walker Capital Companies.

Posted by hkelly as Financial Planning with Lewis Walker at 4:10 PM EST

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